Description: a weblog by cameron marlow
a weblog by cameron marlow
It is hard to estimate how our daily activities contribute to contracting COVID-19. How risky is a 60-minute trip to the supermarket? How about a presidential debate with a known infected individual? The Microcovid Calculator is a simple tool to calculate risk based on published scientific literature on transmission. It outputs risk in the form of MicroCOVIDs where where 1 microCOVID is equivalent to a one-in-a-million chance of getting COVID-19. It’s pretty useful.
For instance, let’s say you want to understand the risk that Joe Biden took being on stage with Donald Trump, who was likely infected during their debate. using the Microcovid Calculator you enter the location of an activity, the number of people, and their relative risk level to get a result. Depending on whether you think the debate was conducted using normal conversation or Loud talking (shouting, talking over music, singing) , the estimate moves from 20,000 MicroCOVIDs to >100,000 microCOVIDs, or a 2% c